Philip Orton (porton)

Philip Orton

Research Associate Professor

Davidson Laboratory 209
(201) 216-8214

Research

Fluid dynamics, the study of fluids in motion, lies at the heart of most questions people ask about the ocean. Increasing numbers of people are moving to its coastlines, yet the added stress we put on the ocean can overwhelm its benefits. Evaluating problems such as storm surges, climate change, and pollution requires a detailed knowledge of ocean, estuary, and atmosphere transport processes.


I enjoy living and working in a metro region with 22 million people mostly living on islands like Manhattan and increasingly connected to their surrounding waterways. I’m a Research Associate Professor of ocean engineering, and my specific research interests include estuary and coastal ocean physics, storm surges and sea level rise, urban flood adaptation, air-sea interaction, urban and coastal atmospheric science, and computational ocean and atmosphere modeling.

Institutional Service

  • Faculty Senate Member
  • SES Dean's Faculty Advisory Council Member
  • 2020-2021 Assistant Professor Search Committee (Chair) Chair
  • Academic Planning and Resources Committee Member
  • Ocean Engineering curriculum committee Member
  • 2019-2020 Tenure-Track Professor Search Committee (Chair) Chair

Professional Service

  • New York CIty Panel on Climate Change Member
  • Jamaica Bay Science and Resilience Institute, Executive Committee and Science Steering Committee Member
  • American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting Session convener
  • American Geophysical Union Session chair
  • Monmouth University’s Urban Coast Institute Steering Committee Member
  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Contributing Author

Professional Societies

  • AMS – American Meteorological Society Member
  • AGU – American Geophysical Union Member
  • CERF – Coastal and Estuarine Research Federation Member

Grants, Contracts and Funds

Selected Recent Grants:
2021 NOAA-RISA, Supporting Regional Implementation of Integrated Climate Resilience: Consortium for Climate Risk in the Urban Northeast (CCRUN) Phase III (P. Orton Co-PI, $264k to Stevens, through 8/31/2026)

2019 National Science Foundation (NSF) Prediction of and Resilience Against Extreme Events (PREEVENTS), “Geomorphic Versus Climatic Drivers of Changing Coastal Flood Risk” (P. Orton, PI; $1.2M total, $380k to Stevens)

2019 NSF-Coasts and People (CoPe), “CoPe RCN: Advancing Interdisciplinary Research to Build Resilient Communities and Infrastructure in the Nation?s Estuaries and Bays” (M. Li, PI; P. Orton Co-Pi, $20,000 to Stevens).

2019 NOAA-COCA/SARP, “Compound Fluvial‐Coastal Flood and Climate Adaptation: A Transferable Framework of Engagement, Modeling and Cost‐Benefit Analysis”, (Orton, PI, $300k).

2018 Catalyzing a deeper understanding of the effects of storm surge barriers on the Hudson River estuary, NOAA National Estuarine Research Reserve System Science Collaborative, 2018 Collaborative Science Catalyst (Orton, PI, $131k)

Selected Publications

Journal Article

  1. ayyad, m.; Orton, P.; El Safty, H.; Chen, Z.; Hajj, M. (2022). Ensemble Forecast for Storm Tide and Resurgence from Tropical Cyclone Isaias. Weather and Climate Extremes.
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094722000834.
  2. De Leo, F.; Wahl, T.; Orton, P. M.; Talke, S. A. (2022). The effect of harbor developments on future high‐tide flooding in Miami, Florida. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (pp. JGRC25117).
  3. Ruig, L. T.; Haer, T.; Moel, H.; Orton, P.; Botzen, W. J.; Aerts, J. C. (2022). An agent‐based model for evaluating reforms of the National Flood Insurance Program: A benchmarked model applied to Jamaica Bay, NYC. Risk Analysis. Wiley.
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.13905.
  4. Palinkas, C. M.; Orton, P.; Hummel, M. A.; Nardin, W.; Sutton-Grier, A. E.; Harris, L.; Gray, M.; Li, M.; Ball, D.; Burks-Copes, K.; Davlasheridze, M.; De Schipper, M.; George, D. A.; Halsing, D.; Maglio, C.; Marrone, J.; McKay, S. K.; Nutters, H.; Orff, K.; Taal, M.; Van Oudenhoven, A. P.; Veatch, W.; Williams, T. (2022). Innovations in Coastline Management With Natural and Nature-Based Features (NNBF): Lessons Learned From Three Case Studies. Frontiers in Built Environment (vol. 8). Frontiers Media SA.
    http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2022.814180.
  5. Enríquez, A. R.; Wahl, T.; Baranes, H. E.; Talke, S. A.; Orton, P.; Booth, J. F.; Haigh, I. D. (2022). Predictable Changes in Extreme Sea Levels and Coastal Flood Risk Due To Long-Term Tidal Cycles. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (4 ed., vol. 127).
  6. Zhang, F.; Orton, P. (2022). Importance of Neighborhood Aspect Ratio and Storm Climate to Adaptation Efforts to Reduce Coastal Flood Mortality. Frontiers in Built Environment (vol. 7).
  7. Miller, L. A.; Orton, P. (2021). Achieving negative emissions through oceanic sequestration of vegetation carbon as Black Pellets. Climatic Change (3-4 ed., vol. 167).
  8. Strauss, B. H.; Orton, P.; Bittermann, K.; Buchanan, M. K.; Gilford, D. M.; Kopp, R. E.; Kulp, S.; Massey, C.; Moel, H. d.; Vinogradov, S. (2021). Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change. Nature Communications (1 ed., vol. 12). Springer Science and Business Media LLC.
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1.
  9. Li, S.; Wahl, T.; Talke, S. A.; Jay, D. A.; Orton, P.; Liang, X.; Wang, G.; Liu, L. (2021). Evolving tides aggravate nuisance flooding along the U.S. coastline. Science Advances (10 ed., vol. 7). American Association for the Advancement of Science.
    https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/10/eabe2412.
  10. Orton, P.; Sanderson, E. W.; Talke, S. A.; Giampieri, M.; MacManus, K. (2020). Storm Tide Amplification and Habitat Changes due to Urbanization of a Lagoonal Estuary. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (9 ed., vol. 20, pp. 2415-2432). Copernicus GmbH.
    http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2415-2020.
  11. Zhang, F.; Orton, P.; Madajewicz, M.; Jagupilla, S. C.; Bakhtyar, R. (2020). Mortality during Hurricane Sandy: the effects of waterfront flood protection on Staten Island, New York. Natural Hazards (1 ed., vol. 103, pp. 57-85).
  12. Gurumurthy, P.; Orton, P.; Talke, S. A.; Georgas, N.; Booth, J. F. (2019). Mechanics and historical evolution of sea level blowouts in New York harbor. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering (5 ed., vol. 7).
  13. Gornitz, V.; Oppenheimer, M.; Kopp, R.; Orton, P.; Buchanan, M.; Lin, N.; Horton, R.; Bader, D. (2019). New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 3: Sea Level Rise. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (1 ed., vol. 1439, pp. 71-94).
  14. Orton, P.; Lin, N.; Gornitz, V.; Colle, B.; Booth, J.; Feng, K.; Buchanan, M.; Oppenheimer, M.; Patrick, L. (2019). New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 4: Coastal Flooding. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (1 ed., vol. 1439, pp. 95-114).
  15. Patrick, L.; Solecki, W.; Gornitz, V.; Orton, P.; Blumberg, A. (2019). New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 5: Mapping Climate Risk. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (1 ed., vol. 1439, pp. 115-125).
  16. Zhang, F.; Orton, P.; Madajewicz, M.; Jagupilla, S.; Bakhtyar, R.. Hurricane Sandy Staten Island Flood Conditions and Mortality: Did a Waterfront Berm Protect or Endanger Residents. Journal of Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. Gottingen: Copernicus Publications.

Technical Report

  1. Fischbach, J.; Knopman, D.; Smith, H.; Orton, P.; Sanderson, E.; Fisher, K.; Moray, N.; Friedberg, A.; Parris, A. (2018). Integrated Analysis and Planning to Reduce Coastal Risk, Improve Water Quality, and Restore Ecosystems: Jamaica Bay, New York. Final project report for The Rockefeller Foundation.
    http://www.rand.org/t/RR2193.

posted-content

  1. Orton, P.; Sanderson, E. W.; Talke, S. A.; Giampieri, M.; MacManus, K. (2020). Storm Tide Amplification and Habitat Changes due to Urbanization of a Lagoonal Estuary. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (9 ed., vol. 20, pp. 2415-2432). Copernicus GmbH.
    http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2415-2020.