Mon 4 Jun 2007
I had an article in Slate today, about a rumor making the rounds of physics departments (and now physics blogs) these past few weeks. Details not in the article: the rumor says that a new particle has been found at the Tevatron, with a mass of 180 GeV, which is on the heavy side for the standard Higgs but not out of the allowed range. It also says that the excess (ie. the number of hits on the particle detector above what was expected) is 5 standards of deviation in magnitude. This is the usual standard for a new particle (the bumps talked about previously were more like 3 standards of deviation). The excess is apparently occurring in the bottom quark channel of the D0 experiment. Some people have taken this to mean that the new particle is *not* the Standard Model Higgs, which would probably decay to W bosons if it were really 180 GeV. But of course, there’s no *real* data available, and so it isn’t clear what the new particle’s decay chain really is, and most people still speculate that it is, indeed, the Higgs.
The point of the article, though, is only partially about the rumor. I conceived of it more as a media watch type story: Dennis Overbye and Elizabeth Kolbert had stories in early May in the New York Times and the New Yorker (respectively) which emphasized the hunt for the Higgs, while in fact, finding the Higgs would mean that particle physics would have no idea what to do next. It would be the ultimate disaster (essentially guaranteeing John H.’s predictions in The End of Science) for the field. When Nima Arkani-Hamed (my old adviser at Harvard, and star of both of the articles) talks about the Higgs being just the beginning, he’s being sloppy with language: the Higgs would be the end. Something Higgs-like (a supersymmetric Higgs, rather than a Standard Model Higgs, for instance; a composite Higgs, or a “little Higgs”), rather than the simple scalar boson that Weinberg canonized in the Standard Model, would be “just the beginning,” because then we could expect to find sparticles, or something even cooler. Nima, as a particle phenomenologist and the originator of some of the little Higgs theories (the “Littlest Higgs,” in fact), of course hopes that something closer to his own predictions will be found. A 180 GeV Higgs, if the decay chain is right, could come close to eliminating the chances of that happening.
One rather interesting quirk about the story: I originally heard about the rumor from a friend at Stanford’s Facebook status message. After that, I sent some emails and made a few phone calls, and found out more details (as well as some variations). And then the rumor made it into the physics blogosphere, which clarified something (and also introduced all sorts of new variations). I would expect D0 to publish in the next few weeks, if there’s anything to publish about. I can’t wait.
And I should say: I emphasize the European commitment to the LHC in the article. Of course, it’s been a group project, and many, many American physicists have contributed to the LHC, in the design, in model building, and in building the experimental apparatus that will use the accelerator. But in terms of actually building the thing, the US has contributed about 6% of total funds, whereas the UK, Germany, and France have contributed a total of about 60%.














June 5th, 2007 at 3:04 am
Dear James,
first of all, thank you for linking my blog from the Slate article (and this site), which resulted in a lot of attention to a few of my posts. I try to do a little bit of outreach in my column, but the more it is read, the better a service I can be stimulated to provide.
Second, I agree with you that a SM Higgs alone at the Tevatron today would not be good news for HEP in general. Instead, a MSSM (supersymmetric) Higgs would mean big bucks a-coming. Now, the alleged excess of events that D0 appears to be seeing cannot be a SM Higgs, because of the much too large rate that any excess implies (the SM predicts the inobservability of a Higgs boson of 180 GeV or so at the Tevatron today or in the near future).
So, let’s keep hopes alive. By the way, I am willing to take anybody on a bet, my 100$ against 5$ of anybody, that the D0 signal is not a Higgs but a fluctuation or bad modeling of backgrounds.
Cheers,
T.
June 5th, 2007 at 5:26 am
Hi James,
I disagree with the statement that “particle physics would have no idea what to do next” if a SM Higgs was found. Yes — the SM would be complete. Yes — we would no longer have a theoretical framework to guide us. Would we just give up and go home, however? That would be crazy! We know the SM can’t be it. There are 1000 different theories out there predicting possible extensions. It will be the wild west: everyone will pile on trying to figure out what is burried in the data. Unlike today — where we are fairly “sure” of discovering the Higgs — we won’t know what we are about to discover. But isn’t that how we push the field beyond the SM??
On a more technical side. All the LHC experiments have been spending years making sure their triger systems and detectors know how to look for as broad a range of crazy theories that have been cooked up by you guys. These studies have fed into detector design, trigger design, software, and even analysis patterns. These studies will proceed no matter if the SM higgs is found – or not.
Cheers,
Gordon.
June 5th, 2007 at 9:10 am
Thanks, Tommaso and Gordon:
First, Tommaso, yes. A MSSM would be exciting, for many reasons. If D0 is seeing anything, we won’t really know the details (including cross sections and decay chains) until they release them. And anyone who played telephone in elementary school knows that these rumors have a way of evolving and then conflicting with each other. I think some versions of the rumor have even specified that they already know it’s a MSSM Higgs. But then again, if the particle is really 180 GeV, the MSSM would be unlikely, and a more complicated supersymmetric Standard Model would be called for (provided the decays and cross sections are as strange as some people say). And yes, an excess of bottom quarks seems like an unexpected way to find the SM Higgs.
But then, my goal in the article wasn’t to report on the content of the rumor (rather than to say there is a rumor, and it’s pretty cool), since the content of the rumor isn’t well defined. I think it’s true that most physicists hope that no one finds the SM Higgs. And I think that if the SM couplings can be run all the way up to the Planck scale, many people (I, for one) will be disappointed. Moreover, I think the reasons people will be disappointed are as I say they are in the piece.
And Gordon: you’re right that the experiments will proceed. But if the Higgs is very strange, or somehow (and this, I think, is really unlikely) there is no Higgs at all, then the LHC is virtually certain to find something entirely new. But if the Higgs is as the SM predicts, there is no reason to expect anything but more SM physics. The SM, with the Higgs, would show no sign of trouble until a few orders of magnitude away from the Planck scale.
The logic of experimental physics is such that *anything* could happen in a new experiment; and yet, there remain reasons to believe that some outcomes are more likely than others. Unfortunately, exotic and interesting outcomes are much less likely if the SM Higgs is found. There is no agreement in the field as to what the logical next step would be. More particle accelerators would confirm and tweak the results of previous accelerators (which has considerable scientific value) but wouldn’t distinguish between competing theories “Beyond the Standard Model.” Theorists, in particular, would be in trouble. Looking to cosmic rays could be scattershot and unreliable. More advanced space telescopes to look back in time at the early universe won’t do any good past a certain point because for 700,000 years, the universe was opaque to light. Neutrino detectors of some sort could bring us to the first second or so, but it still isn’t clear if new physics would emerge at those scales. Not that we shouldn’t try.
-Jim
June 5th, 2007 at 10:13 am
James,
The rumored signal wouldn’t just be an “unexpected” way to find the SM Higgs. It would be an *impossible* way to find the SM Higgs. Now, I think Tommaso is probably right — we shouldn’t be too confident that they see anything at all, since it is in a complicated channel with poorly understood backgrounds — but if they do have a real signal already, it simply cannot possibly be Standard Model physics. Period. You can’t weasel around this by saying that we don’t have all the data and don’t know all the decays, because we understand the Standard Model well enough to know that the amount of data that D0 has at this point is simply not enough to see the SM Higgs given its cross-section. Even in the unlikely event that the rumored mass is wrong, or the rumored channel is wrong, or everything about the rumor is wrong except that that they see a signal, there is *still* no way they can see a Standard Model Higgs already with any significance.
June 5th, 2007 at 11:42 am
Bush the Lesser has dropped $1.5 trillion (with a “t”) into Muslim adventurism. Bush the Lesser has pledged $30 billion to “fight AIDS in Africa” (bringing a putty knife to an artillery engagement). Head Start has a 20% higher annual budget than NSF; Homeland Severity has 4X either Federal alone. Bush the Lesser is shutting down US high energy particle research – waste of money. You aren’t his college buddies; you don’t have character.
A PowerPoint presentation of possible deep meanings – more studies needed! – of a bunch of tenticular blobs is ludicrous. If you guys want to see the big bucks you had better start hiring hogsheads of sexually harassed Mexico-Black lesbian single mother intravenous drug addicts with AIDS doing a born-gain Macarena in their wheelchairs. Pariarchal White oppressors of Peoples of Colour physicists can find work elsewhere as real studies – with performance bonuses! – are engaged.
Remember what UC/Berkeley/Boalt Hall said, “inert intelligence is the pardigm of institutional racism.” I was there at an alumni reunion (mercifully, my woman’s) to hear it.
June 5th, 2007 at 3:49 pm
Dear James,
Since you have a background in particle physics, I was disappointed that you state that the chances of finding anything beyond this Higgs is “negligible”. I can assure you that if this were truly the case the powers that be would not have funded the LHC. There is indirect evidence that there should be something there beyond the Higgs. In particular, I have in mind the existence of a dark matter candidate, which we know we are missing. Also, as you know Im sure, we need to understand why the Higgs is so light compared to the Planck scale (the so-called hierarchy problem). You are certainly entitled to your opinion on the probablility of finding something beyond the Higgs, but I think that you would be hard pressed to find anyone in field, who would agree with you.
June 5th, 2007 at 4:40 pm
Thanks, Ira,
I agree that the Standard Model is unsatisfactory. However, we know that the Higgs mass is much less that the Planck scale (less, even, than 1 TeV) because otherwise partial wave unitarity would be violated (cf. Phys. Rev. Lett. 62 11 1232); we also know that with the Higgs mass put in by hand, the theory is renormalizable. And so, reading it as an effective field theory, the SM doesn’t seem to foretell any problems for itself.
There’s a common abuse of language that I’m trying to avoid. When I say “Standard Model Higgs,” I mean a Higgs that behaves in such a way that the Standard Model is renormalizable, without modification or extension. Many people use “Higgs” to refer to whatever particle moderates electroweak symmetry breaking. If the Higgs, in this generalized sense, requires modification to the minimal Standard Model, then there’s definitely good reason to think the LHC could resolve some of the SM’s inadequacies. I would argue that, strictly from an EFT perspective, the evidence you cite suggesting there is something beyond the SM is also indirect evidence that the Higgs mechanism can’t be simple. Which, I think, is why so much physics beyond the SM concentrates on exotic symmetry breaking.
Jim
June 5th, 2007 at 4:57 pm
Dear James,
I agree with your comments. But they seem to contradict what you say in the article, where you state that the probability of finding anything beyond the Higgs is “negligible”. I should say that from a completely empirical stand point, the best reason to believe we’ll see new physics beyond the Higgs is the necessary existence of dark matter. This is logically disconnected from the nature of symmetry breaking, though one would expect some relation. The arguments regarding fine tuning are compelling but based upon aesthetics.
I guess I was a little disturbed that readers of SLATE would be mislead by this “negligible” comment and that was the main purpose of my post.
Ira
June 5th, 2007 at 5:29 pm
I have animations of the symmetries U(1), SU(2), U(1)xSU(2), SU(3), and Diff(M)xSU(3) up on youtube (search for “the standard model”). You probably know what U(1) looks like, a unit circle in the complex plane. The unit quaternion, while easy to define in terms of its algebra, has not had a way to “look” at it. That is no longer the case. A quaternion has 4 slots for numbers, one for time, three for space. Make a few thousand of these, sort by time, use POVRay to draw individual frames, imagemagick to make an animated gif, and then make a 30″ film on the Mac to be uploaded to youtube. SU(2) is really fun to look at, starting out kind of square before becoming a shrinking sphere. Electroweak symmetry is an expanding/contracting sphere that prefers the past. SU(3) is made out of two quaternions, which has the fun implication of suggesting a smaller group for the standard model instead of a larger one. These spheres can be of different sizes depending on where they are in a manifold, the stuff of gravity.
The next step in physics cannot be put in a pdf.
June 6th, 2007 at 2:52 am
Hi James,
Someone pointed out your slate article to me, and I have to say as your ex-undergrad advisor I was very disappointed. You got the physics 100% wrong, (which is all the more surprising to me given that I know you understand some subtle physics rather well). As some of the commenters above indicated, if there is anything at all to the D0 rumor, there is absolutely no way it can be the standard model higgs. It would instead be a remarkable indication of physics *beyond* the standard model, and would lead us to expect much more at the LHC, not less. One possible explanation might indeed be an MSSM higgs, though until there is an actual D0 paper and the details of the analysis are known one can only speculate; there is still a real chance that (like other significant excesses in the past) it will go away. BTW you say above that an MSSM higgs at 180 GeV isn’t plausible, but that is because you misunderstand: it is the SECOND Higgs of the MSSM, the one that is not the Standard Model Higgs, and 180 GeV is certainly OK for it’s mass. Your assertions to the contrary don’t change this fact; saying something with confidence doesn’t make it true.
To add insult to (your) injury, if the D0 rumor turns out to be real, not only would we think that the LHC is more likely to see lots of extra new physics, even beyond confirming this second higgs, the LHC would also still be set to see the actual Standard Model higgs itself! So the entire logical structure of your article is completely wrong, indeed almost exactly the opposite of the truth.
Of course in this bloggy, postmodern day and age, where people routinely pontificate on things they know nothing about, I suppose a little wild inaccuracy about physics in slate is a drop in the bucket. It is nonetheless irksome to me that the work of hundreds of amazingly talented experimental particle physicists gets characterized in such a profoundly incorrect way. They are charged now more than ever with moving fundamental physics forward, and are working around the clock to make it happen. They deserve a little fact-checking when you write about them. I strongly encourage you to do everything you can to set the record straight in this matter.
Nima
PS I will not be checking back here; I detest the blogosphere for reasons that this little fiasco make completely self-evident, and I have already wasted more time on this than it deserves. However I did feel the need to write something about it, especially since you invoked me as your ex-advisor, lest anyone get the impression that I condone this type of shoddy work in any way.
June 8th, 2007 at 11:41 am
I’m consistently puzzled by the reaction this article receives from some physicists, who seem to miss the point altogether. The logical structure of my article was: There’s a rumor. How neat. Everyone look at the blogs that discuss it for details. But would happen for the LHC if the Tevatron found the SM Higgs? Could be trouble. Also could be trouble if the LHC finds the SM Higgs, as the NYer and NYT say they want to. Let’s hope they find something else instead.
The rumor makes the discussion of what the LHC hopes to find timely, which is especially clear from the excitement in the blogosphere before and after the article, but as I say in the blog post above, the article isn’t really about the rumor. I stand by the claim that finding the SM Higgs, at the Tevatron or the LHC, could cause problems; and it is certainly true, as I say at the end of the article, that I–like many physicists–hope the LHC finds something more interesting than the simplest SM Higgs.
The details of the D0 rumor, though fascinating, have nothing to do with the consequences should the Tevatron or the LHC find the plain old, vanilla SM Higgs. “Not A” does not invalidate a statement of the form “If A then B.”
June 13th, 2007 at 5:49 am
While I am sure that Europe is grateful to the US for its contribution to the LHC, it might have been more appreciated had the kit from Fermilab not been broken on arrival. Conspiracy theoreticians might have seen this poorly designed set of magnets as a plot to scupper the LHC.
As to the reports of the Higgs from Tevatron, Physics World had a nice piece on this in its May issue. “The tale of the blogs’ boson”.
June 15th, 2007 at 1:10 am
Let’s see: on the one hand we have a professional physicist who details his contention that the author has no idea what he’s talking about, and on the other hand we have a graduate student who refuses to listen and defends what he wrote regardless of the criticism. Guess who I believe?
June 26th, 2007 at 3:54 pm
How come there are no comments,rumors from CDF? I am the former member of the CDF, now retired.
CDF is perhaps more disciplined group and does not “leak”.
June 28th, 2007 at 8:53 am
It looks like this was a game of telephone about the Cascade B particle discovered at Fermilab. I found Prof. Arkani-Hamed stance was inappropriate, but I could understand it since you are going after his meal ticket. I have promised to deliver to the good professor a check in the amount of the mass of the Higgs should it ever be discovered in the next ten years.
My rational for not accepting the Higgs mechanism is the lack of an unambiguous link to the graviton. One particle is spin 0, the other spin 2, so at first glance, one should not even hope for a link. Yet at the quantum level, inertial mass must be connected to gravitational mass. The Higgs is suppose to be the particle that mediates inertial mass, while the graviton mediates gravitational mass. If one is free to think about the Higgs without consideration of the gravitational mass, then at a quantum level, one can violate the equivalence principle. I find that unacceptable.
My solution is simple because it has to be simple. The field of gravity is a symmetric second rank tensor. The trace of such a tensor is a rank 0 tensor, and will do the work of the Higgs.
Time will tell if I have to write the check.
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